In episode four of the TraderDane podcast, I frame how current macro uncertainty affects trading, citing Middle East turmoil and disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, spiking oil (WTI near 120 and Brent above 100), a strengthening dollar as a perceived safe haven, and weaker precious metals. I note major indices have been slowly declining but remain supported, creating headline-driven volatility and whipsaws that have hurt my swing trading (including being stopped out of PBR) and left it roughly break-even for months, while I keep a long-term portfolio mostly in cash waiting for a deeper correction. I discuss rate-cut uncertainty given sticky PCE inflation and a weakening labor market, and mention bond yield curve signals. I contrast this with improved day-trading results using VWAP, volume profile, and opening range, describing a recent 10-day winning streak, prop-firm payouts, and focusing on short timeframes during the New York session.

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