Equities rebounded last week and looks like they might keep moving higher. The move was aided by expansionary economic data and earnings but there are still risks for the market. The NFP report was surprisingly strong and coupled with robust wage increases that should give additional impetus to the FOMC. The chatter now is to expect a 50 basis point rate hike in March and even more aggressive rate hikes later in the year.

This week will be all about the CPI data. The earnings season is still underway but there will be few surprises now, with more than 50% of the S&P 500 having already reported. The CPI is expected to expand but at a slower rate than the previous month but there is risk the YOY figures could be hot and provide even more reason for the Fed to hike rates. In that scenario, an overly aggressive Fed could cause the economy to stall.