Equities rebounded on Monday in a volatile session. The growing conflict in Ukraine and the threat of global fallout, on top of the threat of accelerating inflation and FOMC interest rate hikes, has the market wondering which way to go next. The market has backed off on its expectations for interest rate hikes but is still expecting at least one 25 basis point increase in March. Based on the last read of the PCE Price Index, market participants should expect aggressively rate hikes this year even if the first is only 25 basis points. The CME's Fedwatch Tool is pricing in at least at least 4 hikes by June and there is yet to be any sign that inflation is taming.

Also on tap this week? Another report on job creation and this month could be a real market mover. The consensus is for gains in the range of 440,000 following last month's stronger than expected numbers. The risk this month is that job creation will be weaker than expected as indicated by the tepid jobless claims reports.