Equity markets tried to stage a rebound on Tuesday despite rising oil prices and fear Putin will escalate the Ukrainian invasion to another level. By the end of the day however, the move had turned into a dead cat bounce leaving the index down for the session and at the lowest closing level in over 6 months.

In oil news, the price of West Texas Intermediate rose more than 5% intraday to peak above $130 per barrel. The price is rising because Russian capacity is getting priced out of the market and there is no indication yet where the shortfalls will be made up. For consumers, this means a summer of record-high gas prices and another year of near-double-digit inflation. In regards to inflation, the CPI data is due out on Thursday and is not expected to soothe fears. The market has backtracked on its expectations for FOMC rate hikes and now sees the possibility for no hike at the next meeting, we think the CPI data will put those hopes to rest.