Equities fell to start the week confirming the downtrend that has been place for the last two and half months. The S&P 500 fell about 0.75% at the close of the session and below the 4,200 level with lower levels in sight. A move below Monday's close would be bearish and could easily take the market down another several percentage points.

The risk for the market this week is the FOMC although there are other issues at hand. The FOMC is expected to hike interest rates for the first time since the pandemic began and the committee could shock the market. The CME Fedwatch Tool shows the market is pricing in only a single 25 basis point hike but there is a real risk the committee could hike by 50 basis points and/or issue a more hawkish than expected statement. Also, a spike in COVID cases in China has sparked another round of business closures in the key Shenzen manufacturing hub and could cause another massive disruption to the global supply chain.