Equities began the week on solid footing with the S&P 500 rising more than 1.85% at the high of the day. Investors are warned not to read too much into the move, however, because there are at least two major catalysts this week that could drive the market lower. The first is the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, minutes that could reveal a very hawkish Federal Reserve, and the second is the PCE price index on Friday.

The PCE price index is not expected to subside substantially from the previous month and could even come in hotter than expected. A hot figure will seal the deal on a series of 50 basis point rate hikes and could even lead to a 75 basis point hike at the June meeting. The takeaway for investors is that there are many risks on the horizon and that selling in May and going away until the fall could be the best strategy for the summer.