The May CPI data confirmed our worst fears. The FOMC has lost complete control of inflation and is on track to bring on an economic winter. The May CPI not only came in hot from the previous month but accelerated versus the expectation inflation has peaked. The data puts the idea of Peak Inflation to rest and we don't think this is the end of the story. WTI is on the rise and driving systemic inflation throughout the system. If anything, consumers should expect to see prices continue to rise at a high-single-digit rate well into the end of the year.

Last week, the S&P 500 confirmed a full reversal in the market. The index fell from the key resistance level of 4,100 and sed more than 6.5% for the period. The next target for support is 4,900, if this level does not hold up there is a very high probability the S&P 500 will see the 2,800 level before it sets a new all-time high.