Bearish momentum is building on Wall Street. Wednesday's market rebound was nothing more than a blip on the radar, possibly driven by short-covering, as traders and investors continue to move to cash. The move comes just a day before the fresh read of the PCE price index and put the S&P 500 at a new 22-month low. Assuming the PCE index comes out as expected, the sell-off could easily gain momentum and take the market down to the 3,500 level or lower.
The PCE index is expected to come in at 0.5% MoM and 4.7% YOY, which are both an acceleration from the previous month and a new high for the YOY comparison. The takeaway is the market is expecting the worst, and the data could be hotter than predicted. Regardless, the data is in support of the Hawkish FOMC, so investors should be prepared for at least another 50 basis points of interest rate hikes at the next meeting if not another 75.