The rebound in equities continued for a second day on Tuesday with the S&P 500 gaining more than 3% at the high of the day. The move is a relief rally driven by less-than-impressive news in the face of rising inflation and the FOMC interest rate policy. The move in equities could continue over the next few days but there are key technical hurdles ahead that include the 30-day EMA and the top of a channel that has been dominating the action since late last year.

Wednesday's action may be driven by economic data although the ADP report is not expected to be strong. A Goldilocks number for the market would be in the 100,000 to 200,000 range where job gains are still present but not so strong as to move the Fed. The true market mover, however, will be the NFP report on Friday. The NFP report is expected to show a moderately strong gain of 275,000 which would be sufficient to keep the Fed on its current course.