Equities fell to a new low last week, rebounded strongly, hit resistance, and fell again to end the week down ahead of the first busy week of the Q3 earnings season. The move was driven by a hotter-than-expected CPI report that led to a technical bounce from key support. The takeaway is the market is unsure of what to make of the news although the downtrend is still intact. This week, investors should brace for another test of the 3,500 level, and if it is broken another 5% to 10% decline in the index.

Earnings reports will be front and center this week but so too will be the economic data. The data ranges from housing to manufacturing, to the Fed's Beige Book and the Index of Leading Indicators which is expected to be negative for the 6th consecutive month. The takeaway is the market downturn is not over and this week could bring renewed volatility.