Equities went on a wild ride Thursday first rebounding only to peak out midday on comments from the Fed. Fed President Harker made comments to the effect that inflation was not under control, the FOMC was still hiking rates, and that additional rate increases could be large. The market made an abrupt about-face on the news, confirming resistance at the short-term 30-day moving average for the 3rd day in a row. If the market can not break this trend the odds of a pullback to 3,500 will grow to a near certainty.

The next FOMC meeting is less than two weeks away and the CME FedWatch Tool is pricing in a near 100% chance for another historic 75 basis point interest rate hike. Between then and now, the PCE price index for September will be released and it is likely to be a hot one. The takeaway now is that 75 basis point rate hikes could be on the table until inflation comes down to a manageable level.