The equity market started the week on a cautious footing with the S&P 500 falling about 0.4% at the end of the day. There is a renewed fear of inflation and the FOMC following last week's commentary and economic data and, more importantly, the outlook for earnings continues to decline. The consensus for the Q4 period is now firmly in negative territory and the outlook for the 1st half of 2023 is not far behind.

The biggest risks for the market this week are the FOMC minutes on Wednesday afternoon and whatever news may come out. The FOMC minutes, at least, should reinforce the idea that the Fed is not yet done hiking interest rates. The takeaway here is that mortgage rates are going to be pushing 10% in 2023 and will have a deep and resounding impact on the broader economy.