Equity markets rebounded on Wednesday following better-than-expected results from Target. The big box retailer reported strength on the top and bottom lines and maintained its guidance for the year. The caveat is that guidance for the 2nd quarter was reduced due to weakening consumer trends, and the weakness may not be contained to the quarter. If the weakness lingers, and there is no reason to think it won't, Target will reduce its guidance later in the year.

The S&P 500 gained more than 1.0% at the day's high to confirm support at the 30-day moving average. However, the move was capped by resistance at the 4,150 level and may not get any higher. The 4,150 level has been an impossible line for the market to cross for over a year, and nothing in the outlook says that will change now. Even if the index can grind higher, the 4,300 is another line in the sand that will cap gains unless the outlook for the 2nd half begins to improve.