Equity markets are melting up on AI. The rise of AI has brought game-changing news from companies like NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devices, Oracle, and Adobe and promises to be a theme of the Q2 reporting season. The biggest names in tech have still to report and, at the end of the cycle, another report from NVIDIA is due. The company was guided to a level 50% above the prior consensus and could easily raise guidance again. In that scenario, the uptrend in NVIDIA, AI stocks, and the broad market will likely continue.

The wall of worry is still in place. The Fed's last policy announcement was less than dovish and may result in 2 more interest rate hikes by the fall. In that scenario, economic pressure will continue to build and may result in more bank failures and declining consumer demand that puts a cap on the market.