Equity markets advanced on Tuesday on growing hope for a soft landing despite increasing evidence to the contrary. The S&P 500 gained 1.50% at the height of the session, indicating the summer rally was intact. The risk for the market is that the PCE price index is due out later this week and is expected to show core consumer inflation accelerate from the previous month. Data such as this aligns with the idea the FOMC will hike rates at least once more this year; hot data with the idea of multiple hikes by the end of the year.

Evidence of mounting risk includes the latest news from the FDIC. The FDIC proposes raising debt requirements for regional banks to match that of their larger competitors. The move is intended to bolster balance sheets and protect depositors should an institution collapse. With interest rates set to rise, the FDIC is getting ready for the next banking crisis, and it could begin this fall.