Equity markets were able to claw their way higher on Wednesday despite a hot read on inflation. The August CPI came in hotter than expected at the headline and core levels due to the rise of oil prices and threatens to push the Fed into another interest rate hike. The S&P 500 moved up less than 0.25% on the news, but the fact gains were made shows the market still does not believe inflation remains a problem.
The market seems to be heading into a bull trap. The S&P 500 is in rally mode despite the rising chance for additional interest rate hikes, and it is seriously mispricing the odds. As it is, the market has yet to price in another hike, and there could be more than 1 on the way. The price of WTI is up another 2.5% so far in September, the cause of hot inflation, and it is likely to continue rising. The next FOMC policy announcement is 1 week away and poses a significant threat to bullish traders.