Equity markets advanced on Thursday, gaining nearly a full percent at the session's high. The move was spurred by a retreating yield for the 10-year treasury and may indicate a bottom in the market, but investors should not chase prices. The yield on the 10-year treasury retreated, but it is still at historic highs, and there are risks for the market. The #1 is inflation, which is underpinned by higher oil prices.
The next major hurdle for the market will come next week. The monthly labor data is due and should continue showing a solid labor market and upward wage pressure. The wage gains are good for consumers but aid the rise of consumer-level inflation and are a risk for investors. With wages and oil prices rising, inflation will certainly remain a problem for the foreseeable future and continue to pressure earnings growth for S&P 500 companies.