Equity markets fell on Monday, starting the week on a sour note. The move was driven by continued fear of higher interest rates for longer and concern that this week's labor data will keep the Fed's foot on the brakes. The S&P 500 fell about 0.5% at the session's low, extending the losing streak to a possible 5th week. If the market can't regain traction soon, a test of the 4,150 level is inevitable.
The NFP report is due out on Friday. The report is expected to show steady job creation while wages accelerate and unemployment falls. In this scenario, the FOMC has no reason to let off the brakes and every reason to continue to keep interest rates high. The risk for the market is that a soft economic landing will keep the labor market solid and wages rising, underpinning higher-than-normal inflation keeping interest rates higher for longer.