Summary:

- Episode goal: teach you how to detect a martingale before copying trades on a copy-trading platform to protect capital and improve risk-adjusted returns.

- What a martingale is: a money-management approach that increases trade size after losses to recover and win; theoretically tempting but can exhaust finite capital; in markets it leads to large drawdowns.

- How to detect it before copying:

- Equity curve: beware slow gains followed by a sudden cliff; a perfectly steady uptrend is suspicious.

- Win rate vs. average loss: very high win rates (e.g., >90%) with losses much larger than gains are red flags.

- Trade duration: winners closed quickly, losses allowed to run; long losing periods vs. short winning periods indicate trouble.

- Grid of orders: many open trades in the same direction or averaging down with increasing size signals a martingale.

- Leverage and margin: increasing exposure after losses, negative floating, shrinking usable margin suggest reliance on a market move to recover.

- Provider descriptions: promises of no losses, guaranteed daily profit, or no drawdowns are common red flags.

- Practical audit steps:

- Step 1 (public metrics): max drawdown, win rate, average win vs. loss, time in trade, number of simultaneous trades, exposure per asset.

- Step 2 (trade-by-trade): look for loss caps, whether losses are cut or allowed to breathe.

- Step 3 (concentration): avoid strategies relying on a single asset with overall losses.

- Step 4 (backtest/practice): backtest when possible or test in a practice/demo account before real copy trading.

- Counterintuitive guidance: prefer a history of small, frequent losses and modest gains over many tiny gains with one catastrophic loss; focus on risk-adjusted returns, not just monthly gains.

- Actionable filtering rules (defensive framework):

- Do not copy strategies without a stop loss.

- Avoid providers with win rate above 85% and with average loss greater than average gain.

- Do not copy grids that increase position size.

- Demand controlled maximum drawdown and an equity curve with natural pauses.

- Set a total loss limit per provider on the platform.

- Educational note: this is not personalized advice; emphasize risk control, diversification, and monitoring to make copy trading safer.

- Closing question: choose a solid process with controlled losses over a hollow promise of perfection, which helps you sleep better and avoid disproportionate losses.

- Call to action: options to follow the creator’s personal strategies (links in description) and join a Telegram group for suggested strategies.

- Final reminder: long streaks exist in probability; risk management is essential to avoid hidden risks revealed by extreme events.

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