The margins at Manchester United remain razor-thin. Under Darren Fletcher, after Ruben Amorim’s departure, the gap between what our forwards can muster and what our defenders allow is far too narrow. Football’s variance means most of our games will stay competitive, and we won’t reliably go on long winning runs or long losing runs until one or both of these lines move on the graph. With Burnley, we were probably unlucky not to win, but good teams make their own luck, and we too often rely on the gods. Again against Brighton, we were far from outclassed, but another trophyless season is confirmed as our edge didn’t materialise. We analyse both games and then look forward to the Carrick era beginning in earnest.

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