True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast

Max Crosby Deal COLLAPSES + Palantir Rumors + March Madness Picks


Listen Later

Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets — and this episode is loaded.

We start with World Baseball Classic chaos: Team USA manager Mark DeRosa said they’d already clinched… then the U.S. lost 8–5 to Italy and now needs help based on a wild pool-play math scenario (Italy/Mexico runs matter). Meanwhile, the other must-watch game is Dominican Republic vs Venezuela — with huge implications for the bracket and for our picks (Joey’s Samurai Japan is cruising; Mikey’s on the DR).

Then we hit a headline we’ve basically never seen: the Ravens backed out of the Max Crosby trade after the deal was “done,” sending Crosby back to Vegas… and the Ravens immediately pivoted to Trey Hendrickson. We talk buyer’s remorse, what it does to Crosby’s price, and why the Bears odds just got interesting.

We also recap an all-time sleeper stock: Casey’s (the “rural rocket”) continuing its insane long-term run.

Finally, we preview March Madness with a practical champion checklist (KenPom offense/defense + early AP poll trends), give early picks (Arizona) and a value angle (Houston), and close with an all-time comparison: 

Arizona to win the Natty… or Kim Kardashian to pass the bar exam?

Drop a comment with your WBC take and your March Madness winner.

Chapters

00:00 — Intro + why this episode is chaos
00:35 — WBC drama: Mark DeRosa “clinched” comment + USA loses to Italy
02:47 — Pool B math: how USA advances (runs scored scenarios)
03:37 — Why this is a bad look for Team USA
05:14 — Can teams “manage” a low score? What to watch for
06:38 — Mikey on DR; Joey on Samurai Japan (knockout round implications)
09:10 — Max Crosby trade reversal: Ravens back out + Trey Hendrickson pivot
11:26 — Bears odds + what this does to Crosby’s market
14:39 — Casey’s recap: 27,000%+ return “rural rocket”
16:28 — Palantir rumor: monitoring bets + insider deterrence
22:00 — March Madness preview: champion criteria + early picks
23:41 — Joey’s pick: Arizona
25:05 — Mikey’s value pick: Houston (8 cents)
28:20 — Arizona title odds vs Kim Kardashian passing the bar
33:13 — Closing: fingers crossed Team USA (and tonight’s huge games)

#trueodds 

Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

True Odds: A Prediction Markets PodcastBy Stocktwits