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Markets don’t like surprises, and last week’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement was no exception. The reaction across global equity markets was swift and negative as investors recalibrated their expectations in real-time. With key global markets down over 20% from their highs — including the Nasdaq (US), DAX (Germany), and Nikkei (Japan) — a significant amount of bad news has already been priced in. While markets could decline further in the event of a recession, it’s important to recognize that changes in policy could quickly halt or even reverse some of the recent pullback.
 
While uncertainty is running high, we believe there is a reasonable chance that policymakers could soften their stance in the months ahead. However, rather than making assumptions, we remain firmly committed to a disciplined, risk-managed approach that prioritizes capital preservation while positioning our portfolios to capitalize on the market dislocations that volatility tends to create.