Am I Catching a Falling Knife?

MNDY crashing 38 7%! Bargain… or Total Falling Knife?


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When a stock drops 38.7% in days after beating earnings and raising guidance… you have to ask: did the story break, or did expectations snap? In this episode of “Am I Catching a Falling Knife?”, we dig into monday.com (MNDY): what they actually do, why Q3 “conservative” outlook spooked the Street, how 90% gross margins amplify narrative shocks, and what a 7.5% near-term earnings reset means for valuation. We run two lenses—DCF and PEG—then share clean buy levels for high-volatility hunters.


Key takeaways


Earnings paradox: Beat revenue/EPS and raised FY guide, but Q3 tone reset near-term growth expectations.


Margin amplifier: 90% gross margins mean small revenue slows can punch earnings hard.


Valuation range: DCF and PEG both compress fair value after a ~7.5% expectations haircut.


Game plan: Let price come to you


Important: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and consider your risk tolerance.


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#Stocks #MNDY #mondaycom #Investing #Earnings #SaaS #DCF #PEG #StockMarket

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Am I Catching a Falling Knife?By Dave Jones