Fakultät für Mathematik, Informatik und Statistik - Digitale Hochschulschriften der LMU - Teil 01/02

Model Selection in Generalised Structured Additive Regression Models


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In recent years data sets have become increasingly more complex
requiring more flexible instruments for their analysis. Such a flexible
instrument is regression analysis based on a structured additive
predictor which allows an appropriate modelling for different
types of information, e.g.~by using smooth functions for spatial information,
nonlinear functions for continuous covariates or by using effects for the
modelling of cluster--specific heterogeneity.
In this thesis, we review many important effects.
Moreover, we place an emphasis on interaction terms and introduce a
possibility for the simple modelling of a complex interaction between two continuous covariates. \\
Mainly, this thesis is concerned with the topic of variable and
smoothing parameter selection within structured additive regression
models. For this purpose, we introduce an efficient algorithm that
simultaneously selects relevant covariates and the degree of smoothness
for their effects. This algorithm is even capable of handling complex situations with many covariates and observations.
Thereby, the validation of different models is based
on goodness of fit criteria, like e.g.~AIC, BIC or GCV. The methodological
development was strongly motivated by case studies from different areas. As examples, we analyse
two different data sets regarding determinants of undernutrition in India and of rate making for
insurance companies. Furthermore, we examine the performance or our selection
approach in several extensive simulation studies.
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Fakultät für Mathematik, Informatik und Statistik - Digitale Hochschulschriften der LMU - Teil 01/02By Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München

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