Sign up to save your podcasts
Or
Share Models vs. Markets (Conference Hour 1)
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Or
Models vs. Markets (Conference Hour 1)
Video at https://youtu.be/vDYkGODIYzI
In the first session of the 2020 Political Prediction Conference, from American Civics Exchange (amciv.com) and OldBull.TV:
A one-on-one discussion between host Flip Pidot and Harry Crane (harrycrane.com), Associate Professor of Statistics and Co-Graduate Director at Rutgers University, who presents his Fundamental Principle of Probability and why "freerolling" journalistic election forecasters fail to live up to it.
Dr. Crane crunches the numbers to see how Nate Silver's celebrated 538 election model stacks up against what Silver calls the "dumb money" forecasts of prediction markets like PredictIt.
Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv.
Email us at [email protected].
Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com)
License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
View all episodes
By American Civics ExchangeVideo at https://youtu.be/vDYkGODIYzI
In the first session of the 2020 Political Prediction Conference, from American Civics Exchange (amciv.com) and OldBull.TV:
A one-on-one discussion between host Flip Pidot and Harry Crane (harrycrane.com), Associate Professor of Statistics and Co-Graduate Director at Rutgers University, who presents his Fundamental Principle of Probability and why "freerolling" journalistic election forecasters fail to live up to it.
Dr. Crane crunches the numbers to see how Nate Silver's celebrated 538 election model stacks up against what Silver calls the "dumb money" forecasts of prediction markets like PredictIt.
Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv.
Email us at [email protected].
Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com)
License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.