Analysis of escalating US-Iran tensions reveals attack unlikely due to Iran's decades-long military preparations: vast drone/missile arsenals, underground facilities, and regional allies (Iraq, Yemen, Hezbollah) ready for all-out war—not limited retaliation. Any strike would trigger Strait of Hormuz closure, collapsing global oil markets and economies worldwide. Recent Western-backed riots in Iran failed spectacularly, exposing pre-planned destabilization attempts. While indirect negotiations have begun, deep trust deficits persist after JCPOA betrayal and ongoing Gaza slaughter. Core obstacle remains Zionist influence over US foreign policy—without Israel, US-Iran relations would normalize rapidly. Shifting multipolar world (BRICS, Russia-China-Iran axis) now constrains US unilateral action, making war economically catastrophic and militarily unwinnable for Washington. Peace remains Iran's goal, but survival demands uncompromising deterrence.

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