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MLB
MIN/CLE F5 Under 4 -118
PIT +105

MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Mon, July 20) | Twins-Guardians F5 Under + Pirates ML vs Yankees

Toad opens the Monday, July 20th Toadstool Sports show discussing a recent downswing despite being up 60% over the last 106 days, recapping Sunday’s results and frustrations (including the Dodgers-Yankees under, Mets win, and other misses) and reacting to Spain beating Argentina in a low-scoring match with controversy and disallowed goals. After adjusting mic levels with chat feedback, he gives two MLB plays: Twins-Guardians first five under 4 (citing Joe Ryan vs Bibee and avoiding Minnesota’s bullpen) and Pirates moneyline +105 vs the Yankees (citing Yankees’ doubleheader bullpen usage, situational rest edge, and Ashcraft over Weathers). He then runs through additional MLB and WNBA slate notes, including injury/rest angles and market reads, and closes with plugs for social, podcasts, and other channels.

00:00 Cold Open Verse
01:27 Show Intro and Slump
02:10 Yesterday Recap Dodgers Yankees
04:11 World Cup Ref Talk
06:37 Mic Troubles Live Fix
07:44 Pick Twins Guardians Under
13:50 No Bet Dodgers Phillies
20:07 Pick Pirates Over Yankees
26:56 Run Through Monday Slate
27:10 Rays Blue Jays Breakdown
33:30 Red Sox Orioles Streaks
38:11 Padres Braves Preview
39:07 Bullpen and offense check
40:08 JP Sears scouting report
41:26 Bryce Elder trust issues
42:27 Totals and market lean
44:20 Padres Braves rivalry talk
45:14 Mets Brewers setup
46:42 Peralta motivation angle
49:11 Mizejewski dominance breakdown
50:40 Low total betting options
52:51 Giants Royals travel and bullpens
54:31 McDonald vs Wacha matchup
57:12 Market read and stay away
58:21 White Sox Rangers spot
59:56 Fedde vs deGrom analysis
01:03:27 Tigers Cubs wind game
01:04:59 Flaherty and Taillon matchups
01:09:09 Chat shoutouts and break
01:09:51 Slump rant and reset
01:11:40 Marlins Astros pitching puzzle
01:12:55 Junk and Blanco uncertainty
01:15:30 Houston first five lean
01:16:23 Nationals Rockies over spot
01:16:40 Coors Field Totals Debate
01:17:16 Alvarez Road Profile
01:18:21 Freeland Red Flags
01:19:46 First Five Angles
01:21:19 Athletics at Diamondbacks
01:22:31 Springs vs Rookie Brash
01:24:40 Public Side Warning
01:25:33 Tigers Cubs Side Chat
01:26:34 Reds at Mariners Lean
01:27:34 Abbott Kirby Breakdown
01:29:42 Seattle and Under Talk
01:30:42 Cardinals at Angels Nightcap
01:32:07 Leahy Soriano Matchup
01:34:26 Sneaky First Five Under
01:35:35 WNBA Slate Overview
01:35:51 Aces at Toronto Spot
01:37:56 Liberty at Wings Injury
01:41:37 Mystics at Valkyries Zigzag
01:45:35 Lynx at Storm Travel Spot
01:48:16 Todays Official Plays
01:49:10 Pizza Chain Tangent
01:50:13 Wrap Up and Plugs

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