[Monty2026: Geopolitics, National Security, & Government]
Marko Papic (Macro-Geopolitical Chief Strategist, BCA Research); K.T. zu Guttenberg (Chairman, Guttenberg Ventures; former German Defense and Economy Minister)
Marko Papic (Macro-Geopolitical Chief Strategist, BCA Research) and K.T. zu Guttenberg (Chairman, Guttenberg Ventures; former German Defense and Economy Minister) Zu Guttenberg describes Europe as a "Sleeping Beauty" kissed awake by Trump, Putin, and Xi after 30 years of complacency, pointing to Germany's deregulation push, the abolition of its Supply Chain Due Diligence Act, and a historic unlocking of up to 500 billion euros, potentially a trillion, for defense spending.
Papic backs the thesis with markets: European banks have outperformed NASDAQ over the past two years. Zu Guttenberg argues Germany needs 400,000 well-educated immigrants a year just to sustain its economy and military, and advocates a UK-inspired 40-40-20 defense spending model that favors technology over legacy platforms. Both speakers agree Europe's chokepoints in critical tech supply chains give the continent real leverage in negotiations with Washington.