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Australia's property market is going through a sentiment-driven pullback, not a structural crash and Corey breaks down why.
Listings in WA have doubled year-on-year, rental stock is at record lows, and inflation is stuck at 3.6% with the RBA now signalling a rate rise. Corey explains why this combination doesn't add up to a genuine downturn, and why he believes the market is being set up for its sharpest growth phase yet.
Then he gets into this week's core topic: Perth's brick shortage. With one kiln effectively supplying the whole state, builders are rationing supply and construction timelines are blowing out by 6-12 months. Corey lays out the three ways this plays out — and why he thinks WA's signature double-brick construction style is about to change for good.
To close out, Corey answers the question he's been getting from clients constantly: is property investment dead now that negative gearing is gone? He breaks down what negative gearing actually is (and isn't), what it really costs to hold a property without it, and who ends up supplying Australia's rental housing if everyday investors step back.
Here's what he dives into:
◼️ Why the current property market decline is sentiment-driven, not an organic downturn
◼️ Why WA now has double the property listings it had a year ago
◼️ How record-low rental stock is pushing rents up 10-30%
◼️ Why inflation stuck at 3.6% is pushing the RBA toward another rate rise — and what that does to borrowing power
◼️ Why Perth's brick shortage has builders rationing supply and bidding against each other
◼️ The three pathways forward: waitlists, new kilns entering the market, or a shift in construction style
◼️ Why WA's double-brick standard may be replaced by brick veneer, timber frame, steel frame or SIPs construction
◼️ What negative gearing actually is — and the myths currently circulating about it
◼️ The real weekly cost difference of holding an investment property with and without negative gearing
◼️ If not everyday Australians, who actually ends up supplying the country's rental housing
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Why Corey's bringing the show back to its original, unscripted format
00:02:58 - Why this property market decline is sentiment-driven, not a real crash
00:13:02 - The "winner's curse" cycle theory — why the boom may not be over
00:15:07 - Rentals at record lows and why rents are still climbing
00:16:24 - Why the RBA is set to raise rates, and what it does to borrowing power
00:20:10 - The immigration and housing supply debate policymakers are avoiding
00:23:19 - Perth's brick shortage: why builders are rationing and bidding for bricks
00:27:07 - Pathway 1: what happens if nothing changes (12-month waitlists)
00:30:37 - Pathway 2: how the market fixes shortages by attracting new supply
00:34:40 - Pathway 3: why WA's construction styles are about to change
00:36:53 - Q&A: Is property investment dead now that negative gearing is gone?
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