Mullooly Asset Management

How will the Federal Reserve's next move shape your financial future? Join us as we unpack the imminent decision on interest rate cuts, weighing the possibilities of 25 or 50 basis points. With historical insights from Datatrack Research, we delve into past rate cuts since 1990, examining the economic contexts and implications. We'll also explore how the Fed funds rate stacks up against the two-year Treasury yield, and what the cautious approach of Fed Chair Jerome Powell might mean for market stability and investor sentiment. This episode offers a detailed analysis of potential market impacts as we ponder the extent of future rate cuts to manage economic conditions.

Travel back with us to the 1987 stock market crash and the evolution of financial news. We'll reminisce about the days before CNBC and discuss the significance of economic indicators like the yield curve and job reports, which continue to influence market sentiment today. You'll also find practical advice on financial planning strategies, whether you're contemplating early retirement or working into your 60s. We'll cover the implications for Social Security benefits and offer insights into making informed decisions about your financial future. Tune in for a blend of historical reflection and actionable financial guidance.

What if a sudden surge in small cap stocks could reshape your investment strategy? Join Tim, Brendan, and Tom Mullooly on episode 482 of the Mullooly Asset Management Podcast as we navigate the recent 11.5% rise in the Russell 2000 index, a rare occurrence seen just 32 times since 1990. This episode uncovers the significance of such unexpected movements, especially amidst the stagnation of the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, and emphasizes why diversification remains crucial for a balanced portfolio. Drawing on insights from Datatrek Research and Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman, we explore the unpredictable nature of markets and the importance of staying diversified.

As we wrap up this insightful discussion, we remind our listeners that the perspectives shared are meant to educate and inform, not dictate investment choices. The opinions expressed are personal and may not necessarily represent the views of Mullooly Asset Management. Make sure to catch our next episode for more valuable financial insights and strategies to help you navigate the ever-evolving market landscape. Stay tuned and stay informed!

Can actively managed ETFs that use derivatives really offer the perfect balance of income generation and market protection, or do they come with hidden risks that could jeopardize your investments? This week, we explore the emerging world of these high-stakes financial products, which have attracted a staggering $31 billion in just one year. We'll share personal stories and hard-learned lessons, stressing why thorough research and caution are crucial before diving into such complex strategies. While these ETFs seem to be tailored for current market demands, they might not be suitable for everyone or adaptable to future conditions.

In our deep dive into risk management strategies, we dissect the mechanics of buffer funds and their role in smoothing out market volatility. You'll learn how these products trade off downside protection for capped upside returns and why understanding this dynamic is essential for long-term success. We'll connect the dots from the 2008 financial crisis to present-day sentiments and discuss how upcoming events, like elections, could sway investor behavior. Our goal is to equip you with the knowledge needed to make informed decisions and understand the full implications of incorporating these financial tools into your investment portfolio.

Could rising tax penalties derail your retirement plans? Join us in this episode as we tackle the significant rise in tax penalties facing millions of filers and uncover the reasons behind this surge. We’ll unpack the intricacies of tax withholding and the importance of quarterly estimates, especially as you transition into retirement. With a focus on healthcare and insurance, we emphasize the critical need for thorough planning to safeguard your financial future.

We also explore the impact of rising interest rates and the resulting increase in taxable interest income from bank accounts and CDs. Learn how to manage this newfound taxable income and avoid penalties through careful planning. We delve into the complexities of "phantom income" from reinvested dividends and the challenges of capital gains management. By comparing brokerage assets and retirement accounts, we highlight the necessity of understanding different tax treatments to optimize retirement planning and income management.

Navigating retirement account distributions and understanding tax withholdings from various income sources, such as pensions, annuities, Social Security, and capital gains, can be daunting. We discuss how to coordinate these income streams to avoid underpayment penalties and benefit from a comprehensive financial overview. For self-employed individuals, LLC owners, and those with mixed income sources, we emphasize the importance of meticulous tax planning to ensure accurate withholdings. Lastly, Tom Malooly provides valuable insights into investment strategies, highlighting the importance of personalized financial advice to help you make informed decisions tailored to your unique needs and circumstances.

Can you really afford to put all your eggs in one basket? Tim and Brendan Malooly join me to dismantle the myth that US large-cap growth stocks are the only game in town. We're tackling the misconception that the classic 60-40 portfolio is obsolete, shedding light on the recent performances of bonds and other stock categories that prove the enduring power of diversification. We also take a deep dive into the dangers of momentum investing and the misguided excitement around recent winners like NVIDIA and T-bills.

Are you chasing the latest market trends? We explore the cyclical nature of asset class performance, using commodities and tech stocks from 2022 to 2024 as prime examples. With Brendan and Tim, we stress the importance of a long-term perspective and the crucial role advisors play in guiding clients through volatile markets with historical insight. Chasing short-term gains often leads to disappointment, and we highlight why a steady, diversified approach is your best bet for financial stability.

Long-term success in investing isn't measured in days—it's measured in decades. We reflect on the realities of timing market decisions and the importance of continually evaluating your investment strategies. We call out the financial media’s impact on investor behavior and stress the benefits of maintaining a diversified portfolio to mitigate market unpredictability. With the right mindset and a balanced approach, diversification ensures you're prepared for both the highs and lows of the market. Join us for this insightful episode, where we lay bare the real challenges and rewards of long-term investing.

What if the Federal Reserve isn't planning to cut interest rates as soon as the market anticipates? Join me, Tom Malooly from Malooly Asset Management, on our latest episode recorded on June 13th, 2024, where we unpack the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports that indicate a slowing pace of inflation. We dive into the outcomes of the Federal Reserve's recent meeting, exploring Chairman Jerome Powell's emphasis on the necessity of sustained lower inflation and a weaker job market before any rate cuts are considered. With jobless claims experiencing a slight uptick, we delve into the potential repercussions on the broader economy and why a single rate cut in 2024 is gaining consensus.

Expect a critical examination of the Federal Reserve's strategy to achieve its 2% inflation target, including the likely market responses if rate cuts don't materialize immediately. We discuss why the Fed might choose to wait for consistent inflation data over several months before making any moves, despite market pressures. This episode offers insights into why the current economic landscape doesn't justify immediate rate cuts and why sticking to your investment strategy is crucial for economic stability. As we look ahead to a promising latter half of 2024 and into 2025, we provide a balanced perspective on maintaining optimism and steady investment strategies amidst these economic developments.

Discover the Federal Reserve's latest strategic moves as we unpack Chairman Powell's firm stance against interest rate hikes and how it directly impacts your wallet.

We cite financial commentator Callie Cox - her expertise helps to shed light on what steady rates mean for consumer loan rates, from mortgages to auto loans. Her sharp analysis on Twitter becomes the cornerstone of our discussion, providing valuable insights into the economic indicators that are shaping our financial landscape.

Gain clarity on the specter of stagflation, a term that's been looming over economic conversations for decades. We trace its origins back to British politician Ian McLeod and contrast it with today's economic climate, using Powell's own words to dissect why this phenomenon is not an immediate threat. As the presidential election approaches, we also explore the historical patterns of the Fed's actions around such political events, and forecast what to expect from upcoming meetings. Tune in for an essential briefing on how the Fed's decisions could influence the economy's trajectory and what that means for you.

Unlock the secrets to maximizing your Social Security benefits with the guidance of JP Morgan's treasure trove of insights! Brendan and I dissect the Social Security Breakeven Point Chart in a way that will forever change how you think about your golden years. From the earliest claim at age 62 to the strategic patience of waiting until 70, we examine the complex dance between monthly payouts, longevity, and the broader picture of your financial portfolio. Whether you're pondering the best age to claim benefits for maximum financial security, or you're concerned about preserving wealth for your heirs, this episode promises to equip you with the knowledge to make an informed decision that resonates with your personal financial landscape.

As we navigate the sophisticated world of Social Security, we also tackle the often-overlooked tax implications of your claiming strategy. With Brendan's expertise, we dissect the nuances of marginal versus effective tax rates, the ramifications of required minimum distributions starting at age 73, and the critical importance of understanding how these factors intertwine with your benefit claim timing. This isn't just a conversation—it's a roadmap to leveraging Social Security to protect your investment portfolio and ensure a future that shines as brightly as your past. Tune in to this pivotal episode, and make the irreversible decision to start your Social Security benefits one you'll look back on with confidence.

Step back into 1979 with us, as we unearth the decisive steps taken by Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker to tame the rampant inflation that threatened to unhinge the U.S. economy. Our narrative weaves through the socio-economic tapestry of the Vietnam War, the ambitious Great Society programs, and the tumultuous energy crises that culminated in a secret Federal Reserve meeting, igniting a financial revolution. This is a tale of high stakes and bold decisions, where the echoes of Volcker's unyielding commitment to curbing inflation resonate through the corridors of economic history, shaping the prosperity of subsequent decades.

Shifting gears, we move into the realm of investment management, inviting you to engage with a discussion that bridges the past with the present. Your candor and insights are what make this conversation thrive, and we're grateful for the richness they add to our collective understanding. As we navigate through the intricacies of financial decision-making, our aim is to empower and enlighten, fostering a dialogue that benefits us all. Join the discourse, share your perspectives, and become an integral part of our journey through the captivating world of economics and investment.