In the past 48 hours, the US housing industry has shown signs of cautious optimism as lower mortgage rates begin enticing buyers back into the market, though challenges remain. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 6.13 percent in mid-September, the lowest since October 2024, following a Federal Reserve rate cut. This has led to a noticeable surge in pending home sales, which jumped 4 percent in August to their highest level since March 2025, reversing declines seen in the previous two months. Year-on-year, pending sales are up 3.8 percent, with the Midwest leading the trend by posting an 8.7 percent monthly increase as buyers take advantage of improved affordability. In contrast, some Northeastern markets remain tight, while Sun Belt regions like Miami and Austin experience sharp increases in inventory due to overbuilding and demographic shifts.
National active listings exceeded one million in June, a 31.5 percent year-over-year jump, offering buyers more options than at any point in nearly a decade. Over 20 percent of listings have reduced asking prices, the highest since 2016, reflecting sellers’ willingness to negotiate as affordability remains a challenge and home prices linger near historic highs. According to the latest forecasts, home prices are now expected to rise only about 1.2 percent over the next year—far lower than pandemic-era surges—while homes are taking about 27 days to sell, a week longer than last year.
Market leaders and homebuilders are responding by offering price cuts—39 percent reported doing so in recent surveys—to attract hesitant buyers. Multifamily housing and REITs focused on affordable units are performing well, facing low vacancy rates and steady rent growth. Consumer behavior remains cautious: more buyers are signing contracts with contingency clauses or backing out during inspection if terms are unfavorable, mirroring ongoing economic and job market concerns.
Compared to mid-2024, the present landscape is more balanced between buyers and sellers, though not a full buyer’s market. Investors are increasingly targeting Sun Belt and Midwest metros for new deals, exploiting local gluts or persistent shortages. Altogether, while momentum has shifted slightly in buyers’ favor, the US housing industry is navigating recovery in a market still defined by regional divides and evolving consumer expectations.
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This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI