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NCAAB
Duquesne +6.5
Old Dominion +5
Missouri St. +4
New Mexico St. -7
San Francisco +8
College Basketball Picks (Feb 21): Duquesne, ODU, Missouri State, New Mexico State & San Francisco
Toad opens frustrated by an extended losing slump and recaps a recent VCU collapse against Saint Louis. He breaks down a large Saturday slate by discussing major TV games and key handicapping angles such as scheduling spots, look-aheads, revenge situations, travel/time zones, tempo contrasts, public betting splits, and KenPom analytics (including luck ratings). He gives five official plays: Duquesne +6 at Dayton, Old Dominion +4 at Southern Miss, Missouri State +4 at FIU, New Mexico State -7 vs UTEP, and San Francisco +7.5 (or +8) vs Santa Clara. He also provides leans and commentary on numerous other matchups, including Arizona-Houston, Michigan-Duke (neutral site), and Illinois-UCLA
00:00 Brutal slump rant: ‘I don’t even know what day it is’
01:33 Show intro + recap of yesterday’s VCU collapse
03:54 Noon slate breakdown: Florida–Ole Miss & Creighton–St. John’s
08:46 More noon games: Loyola–St. Joe’s, ECU–Charlotte, Rutgers–Minnesota
14:11 ACC noon window: Wake–VT and FSU–Clemson leans
18:41 1 PM spotlight games: Cincinnati–Kansas & UNC–Syracuse
24:24 Mid-major quick hits: Albany–UMBC, Chattanooga–Citadel, Sun Belt angles
31:24 Early afternoon card talk: Miss St–South Carolina, Xavier–Butler, Army–Navy
36:09 2 PM slate begins: Miami–Virginia and Tennessee–Vandy pace clash
38:56 Tennessee vs Vandy: market read, public sentiment & defensive edge
40:10 Quick break & classic 'They are who we thought they were' rant clip
42:13 Best Bet #1: Duquesne +6 at Dayton
46:41 ACC check-in: Notre Dame at Pitt + quick hits on other early games
47:53 Ivy League angles: Harvard–Cornell and Yale–Penn situational spots
50:28 Mid-major situational reads: Le Moyne–Stonehill, Mercer–Samford, FGCU lean
54:08 Ohio Valley & ACC slate: SIUE–Tennessee State and Georgia Tech at Louisville
57:03 Big 12 spotlight: Texas Tech without Toppin + Arizona at Houston pace battle
01:03:01 Afternoon card scan: Washington–Maryland, Summit/MAC/Sun Belt leans
01:08:46 Best Bet #2: Old Dominion +4 vs Southern Miss
01:11:49 Near-play breakdown: West Georgia at Queens
01:14:23 Best Bet #3: Missouri State +points at FIU
01:17:43 Late window leans: Oklahoma State–Colorado and Texas–Georgia pace/spot talk
01:21:37 North Florida’s brutal loss & why Stetson is the lean
01:25:06 SEC hangover spot: Missouri vs #20 Arkansas
01:26:46 MEAC quick hit: South Carolina State at Norfolk State
01:28:19 Big 12 trap line talk: Arizona State letdown at Baylor
01:29:42 Pac-12/Big Ten crossover: Oregon revenge spot at USC
01:31:24 Conference spotlight: Winthrop vs High Point for the Big South lead
01:32:48 Mountain West read: San Jose State off upset heads to Boise State
01:34:25 ACC & CAA angles: BC at SMU, then Monmouth at Charleston
01:36:39 Sun Belt + OVC slate: Troy/South Alabama and SEMO/Little Rock
01:39:04 C-USA grinder: Western Kentucky road revenge at Liberty
01:40:17 Bubble watch: West Virginia bounceback at TCU
01:42:18 Big East marquee: #5 UConn at Villanova—too easy or just right?
01:44:55 Evening TV games: Alabama at LSU, Temple at Wichita, plus baseball aside
01:48:38 Mountain West feature: San Diego State at Colorado State
01:51:05 More 6 PM card: Georgetown/Seton Hall, Stanford/Cal, St. Thomas/Denver, Buffalo/UMass
01:57:32 Game of the day breakdown: #1 Michigan vs #3 Duke in DC
02:02:16 America East Revenge Spot: Vermont vs NJIT
02:03:59 SoCon Chess Match: Furman vs Wofford Road Revenge & Scheduling Angles
02:05:26 ASUN Road Favorite Check: Austin Peay at Jacksonville
02:06:59 Big Ten After Dark: Illinois at UCLA — Slow Pace, Take the Points
02:09:23 Missouri Valley Bounce-Back: Illinois State at Bradley
02:10:31 Mountain West TV Slot: New Mexico at Fresno State
02:11:39 Letdown/Sandwich Alert: Wyoming at Grand Canyon
02:13:15 Big East Spot Play: Providence at DePaul After the St. John’s Chaos
02:14:33 Southland Grinder: Texas A&M–CC at McNeese
02:16:41 SEC Bubble Watch: Texas A&M at Oklahoma
02:18:32 SEC Spotlight: Kentucky at Auburn — Why Auburn’s Still Undervalued
02:20:36 WCC Big Number: Pacific at Gonzaga
02:21:54 Big 12 Altitude Spot: UCF at Utah
02:23:33 Big West Sandwich Spot: Long Beach State vs Cal State Northridge
02:25:33 Best Bet: New Mexico State -7 vs UTEP
02:28:52 Late-Night MW: Utah State at Nevada
02:30:34 Best Bet: San Francisco +Points vs Santa Clara
02:34:04 WCC Road Wear: St. Mary’s at Washington State
02:35:42 Big West Showcase: UC Santa Barbara at Hawaii
02:37:08 Big West Revenge Angle: UC San Diego vs UC Irvine
02:38:26 Top-25 Nightcap: Iowa State at BYU
02:40:07 Final Card Recap, Plugs, and Sign-Off
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