This is your Beijing Bytes: US-China Tech War Updates podcast.
I'm Ting, your byte-sized guide to the US-China tech war—where every headline feels like a new turn in a cyberpunk thriller. Let’s plug into what’s really happened these past couple weeks, right up to today.
This fortnight’s buzzword? Escalation. First up: cybersecurity. The Senate is grilling the Pentagon for a stronger game plan against Chinese cyber incursions. China’s pushed past spying for secrets; now their hackers—think Volt Typhoon and the newly surfaced Salt Typhoon—are camping out in US critical infrastructure, especially around military outposts like Guam. Officials are freaked: it’s less about stealing intellectual property, and more about the ability to trigger disruptions, even as a military prelude if things heat up over Taiwan. The Biden-to-Trump transition—yes, Trump’s back—has officials promising to hit Chinese cyber actors harder, but deterrence is tricky. Adversaries just don’t fear US digital reprisals yet.
Industry and policy are morphing just as fast. In April, the Trump administration’s rules kneecapped US chipmakers, effectively closing off $50 billion in Chinese sales. Nvidia, led by Jensen Huang, lost $8 billion in potential sales and saw their China market share halved overnight. But here’s the twist: Nvidia’s global AI dominance made its stock skyrocket anyway. The White House tried using Nvidia’s success to prove its policies work. Huang countered that the restrictions just made China more self-reliant—and voilà, Huawei and other domestic players are closing the gap.
Cue the policy shuffle. Nvidia’s persistence and a bit of tech-world saber-rattling led to a reversal—stricter rules on the H20 processor were delayed. Meanwhile, Nvidia is set to release the Blackwell RTX Pro 6000 chip for China by September. It’s an AI chip—made export-compliant by stripping out high-bandwidth memory and NVLink. This lets Nvidia claw back some lost Chinese business while staying mainly on the right side of US law. The move reflects a bigger trend: US export policy now allows certain mid-tier AI chips to reach China, dialing down from maximum pressure but adding a layer of compliance hassle for everyone.
Diplomacy is in play too. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and China’s Wang Yi are prepping a possible Xi-Trump summit, aiming to extend the 90-day truce that paused some tariffs and briefly eased export restrictions. Investors are betting big on this: if the summit goes well, stocks in AI, semiconductors, and—yes—5G could boom. The trade truces are fragile, but tech firms like TSMC and ASML see an opportunity to break out of regulatory limbo.
Even agriculture is in the crossfire. The USDA just rolled out a security plan to curb Chinese purchases of US farmland and defend farm technologies from cyber threats. Why? Farms now run on connected devices—GPS tractors, IoT irrigation—and a single hack could ripple through the whole food supply chain.
Experts say both sides are doubling down: China’s pouring billions into chip and AI self-reliance, and outspends the US in R&D when adjusted for purchasing power. The US has the CHIPS Act, but many analysts argue it needs to think more like China—targeting strategic sectors, not just pouring money everywhere.
My forecast: The truce might buy everyone a summer breather, but the long game is about locking down the bones of future tech—AI, chips, 5G, and digital infrastructure. Both countries are investing in offense and defense, with businesses like Nvidia forced into Olympic-level policy gymnastics just to stay competitive. Cyber threats are shifting from espionage to infrastructure risk, and regulations remain a moving target.
That’s the byte-sized briefing for July 11, 2025. Thanks for tuning in to Beijing Bytes—don’t forget to subscribe for your next deep dive into tech, hacking, and high-stakes geopolitics. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.
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