The Blueprint Finance Podcast | Plan Your Future

NZ PROPERTY DOESN’T ALWAYS GO UP


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Some people bought NZ property in 2015 and sold it in 2025 for less than they paid. In a market that went up 55%.Daniel Lipman and Rory McSweeney unpack exactly how that happens — which property types consistently underperform, why the regions outgrew Auckland 3:1 over the decade, and what actually drives capital growth in New Zealand.▶ Mortgage review → https://blueprintfinance.co.nz/mortgage-options-analysis/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=podcast_ep21▶ Subscribe for weekly NZ property + mortgage strategy → https://blueprintfinance.co.nz/poai-newsletter/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=podcast_ep21═══════════════════════════════════════This episode is a 10-year NZ property case study. The headline number you'll see in many videos is the national average — about +55% from 2015 to 2025. The story inside that average is much more interesting.Auckland grew roughly 38% over the decade — well below average, and in the year ending March 2026, Auckland is still negative year-on-year (REINZ HPI). Wellington was even slower. Meanwhile Gisborne, Manawatu, Southland and Invercargill pushed past 130%. Same country, same decade, three times the growth.What separates the regions that pumped from the cities that stagnated? Three things — land, scarcity, and demand. And what separates the property types that appreciated from the ones that quietly bled money? Title structure, body corporate exposure, and whether the developer already extracted every dollar of value before you signed.In this episode:- The real client case — bought in 2015, sold in 2025 for $10K LESS than purchase price- Why the cities have a structural growth ceiling- The regions that outperformed Auckland 3:1 (and why)- The 4 property types that consistently fail to appreciate in NZ- Why your real estate agent loves new-build developments- Capital growth vs cashflow — Blueprint's framework for property investors- Rory's hot tip: a specific NZ region he rates right now═══════════════════════════════════════⏱ CHAPTERS═══════════════════════════════════════0:00 The Kiwi who sold property at a loss1:24 NZ property: a 10-year cycle, mapped4:58 From steady growth to COVID-era boom7:00 The 2021 handbrake — how the party ended8:24 Auckland 38% vs the regions 130%+10:42 The growth ceiling that limits the big cities13:00 Same job, twice the house — the regional move14:40 Rental yields: why the regions beat Auckland20:18 Queenstown — the city that defied the downturn22:00 When properties DON'T appreciate: apartments24:18 The leasehold trap (and the $500K body-corp story)26:00 Capital growth vs cashflow — Blueprint's framework27:25 Why new-build townhouses underperform31:14 The 3 fundamentals that drive property up35:00 Rory's hot tip: the specific NZ region he rates═══════════════════════════════════════📊 DATA SOURCES MENTIONED═══════════════════════════════════════REINZ House Price Index → https://www.reinz.co.nz/Web/Web/News.aspxCotality NZ Property Outlook → https://www.cotality.com/nzRBNZ Official Cash Rate history → https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary-policy/official-cash-rate-decisionsRBNZ LVR restrictions → https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/regulation-and-supervision/banks/macro-prudential-policy/loan-to-value-ratio-restrictionsStats NZ regional employment → https://www.stats.govt.nz/topics/employment-and-unemploymentQV Quotable Value → https://www.qv.co.nz/

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The Blueprint Finance Podcast | Plan Your FutureBy Daniel Lipman and Rory McSweeney