Current energy shocks collide with restrictive monetary policy, creating a different challenge for fixed income investors than 2022.

Mindy Gudmundson, Institutional Portfolio Manager on RBC GAM's BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, examines how today’s potential inflation shock differs from a few years ago, and why timing may matter for bond investors positioning ahead of a perceived peak.

• Today's energy shock hits an economy already operating under tight monetary conditions, creating stagflation risks that contrast sharply with 2022's zero-rate environment.
• Headline CPI heading toward 4% while growth slows materially below early-year expectations, with consumer sentiment reaching all-time lows amid elevated prices.
• Curve steepening presents potential opportunity as short rates approach their peak with inflation topping out, while fiscal concerns and growth anxiety pressure the long end.