US Housing News

Podcast Title: "Easing Mortgage Rates, Softening Home Prices, and Uneven Market Corrections in the US Housing Sector"


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The US housing market over the past 48 hours shows easing mortgage rates, softening price growth, and tentative inventory improvements, while affordability remains historically tight and regional pressures diverge.[1][5]

Mortgage costs ticked down: the average 30 year fixed rate slipped to about 6.75 percent as of August 10, down 7 basis points from last week, reflecting cooling inflation data and expectations of a Fed cut in September.[1] Refinance 30 year fixed averages also eased to roughly 6.91 percent.[1] Industry outlooks now expect rates to hover between 6.5 and 7 percent through late 2025, with more meaningful relief not likely until 2026.[5]

Prices are decelerating. New August reporting indicates US annual home price growth slowed to about 1.7 percent year over year in June, below inflation, with the monthly gain near 0.1 percent, the slowest in over a decade.[6][7] Analysts noted about 20 percent of metros saw price declines in June, concentrated in parts of the South and Southeast, including Florida and Texas.[7]

Affordability constraints remain severe. According to recent Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices commentary citing NAR, only about 1 in 5 listings were affordable to households earning 75,000 dollars in Q1 2025, versus about half pre pandemic, highlighting persistent entry level shortages despite rising inventory.[5] Redfin tracked sellers outnumbering buyers by nearly 500,000 in May, hinting at gradual normalization, but relief is uneven by market.[5]

Regional corrections are becoming more visible. Fresh analyses flag heightened downside risk in metros that saw outsized pandemic era gains or new build surges, including Austin, Phoenix, Tampa, Boise, Las Vegas, and parts of Colorado, where inventories are building and homes are sitting longer.[3]

Market structure is healing from pandemic era overvaluation. New data indicate estimated national overvaluation fell from roughly 29 percent in Q2 2022 to about 8 percent by the end of Q2 2025, suggesting fundamentals are re aligning, though conditions vary by metro.[4]

How leaders are responding. Broker networks and large firms are counseling sellers to price to the market as rates stabilize, while preparing for modest activity improvements next year; they also emphasize expanding affordable inventory to unlock demand.[5] Compared with earlier this summer, the narrative has shifted from broad price resilience to slower growth, more price cuts in select regions, and slightly better rate tailwinds.[1][5][7]

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US Housing NewsBy Inception Point Ai