Post 337: More Beer, Less Bubbles: When Policymakers Toast Fake Growth
Beer maker Constellation Brands’ sales and share price are going down faster than its beer.
US office vacancy rate ticked down from last year.
But is still over 25% in some Western cities.
When you buy a home the government assumes you’re paying rent to yourself and they add it to GDP making the economy look much stronger than it really is.
Particularly if there’s a housing bubble.
Another reason policymakers like to drive housing price higher.
Mercedes Benz sales have been falling for some time.
And a look back.
In Financial Ructions:
We look at an apologist for central banks.
Who believes that government debt to GDP over 100% is nothing to worry about.
PM: Spoiler alert: It is.
There may be a new prime minister in Japan and some are likening her to the next Margaret Thatcher: Uh, no.
And gargantuan levels of government debt have sapped economic growth over the last 35 years.
One of the original architects of rampant investment in the unproductive housing sector in Canada, now says we need more productive investment.
Better late than never I suppose.
A journalist claims that the stock market is one of the best economic indicators.
No, it’s an indicator of spending through the wealth effect.
It no longer says much about the underlying health of the economy.
A sociologist is right about the cracks in our economic system.
But wrong with respect to how they got there.
In our book review of Taxes Have Consequences:
President Kennedy distances himself away from the New Deal doctrine of the Depression era 1930s.
In 1932, local taxes were four times higher than federal taxes.
Not anymore.
Keynes cautions against high taxation.
From 1966 to 1974 the S&P 500 fell approximately 60% in real terms.
Post 337: More Beer, Less Bubbles: When Policymakers Toast Fake Growth
Beer maker Constellation Brands’ sales and share price are going down faster than its beer.
US office vacancy rate ticked down from last year.
But is still over 25% in some Western cities.
When you buy a home the government assumes you’re paying rent to yourself and they add it to GDP making the economy look much stronger than it really is.
Particularly if there’s a housing bubble.
Another reason policymakers like to drive housing price higher.
Mercedes Benz sales have been falling for some time.
And a look back.
In Financial Ructions:
We look at an apologist for central banks.
Who believes that government debt to GDP over 100% is nothing to worry about.
PM: Spoiler alert: It is.
There may be a new prime minister in Japan and some are likening her to the next Margaret Thatcher: Uh, no.
And gargantuan levels of government debt have sapped economic growth over the last 35 years.
One of the original architects of rampant investment in the unproductive housing sector in Canada, now says we need more productive investment.
Better late than never I suppose.
A journalist claims that the stock market is one of the best economic indicators.
No, it’s an indicator of spending through the wealth effect.
It no longer says much about the underlying health of the economy.
A sociologist is right about the cracks in our economic system.
But wrong with respect to how they got there.
In our book review of Taxes Have Consequences:
President Kennedy distances himself away from the New Deal doctrine of the Depression era 1930s.
In 1932, local taxes were four times higher than federal taxes.
Not anymore.
Keynes cautions against high taxation.
From 1966 to 1974 the S&P 500 fell approximately 60% in real terms.