As we move into May 2025, fire danger continues to escalate across multiple regions in the United States. Eight counties in northwest Minnesota are currently under a Red Flag Warning due to extreme fire risk conditions. Clay, Kittson, Marshall, Pennington, Polk, Red Lake, and Roseau counties were placed under warning from 11 a.m. to 7 p.m. on May 5th, with officials noting that strong winds and low relative humidity create conditions where fires can spread quickly and grow out of control.
The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources has suspended issuing burn permits during this period and discourages campfires, emphasizing that fine fuels such as grass and small twigs can dry out rapidly in these conditions and easily ignite.
Looking at the broader national picture, experts predict that between 7 and 9 million acres will burn across the United States in 2025, which is near to above the historical average. An estimated 60,000 to 75,000 fires are expected to ignite this year, including 7,500 to 9,000 in California alone.
Southern California has already experienced a concerning start to the year, having burned 30,820 acres in January, six times the average. The combination of rising temperatures, worsening droughts, and changing precipitation patterns continues to increase wildfire risks across America.
The Southwest region is expected to see variable fire potential through May due to periodic low-pressure systems moving through the area. However, hotter and drier conditions may return more consistently later in May or June, resulting in increased fire danger, particularly in southeast and eastern Arizona into southern and central New Mexico.
Above-normal fire activity is expected for central and south Texas and Oklahoma, with grasslands in the central U.S. at particular risk due to prolonged drought and high winds that can drive fast-moving grassfires.
Fire seasons have grown longer over the past decade, with some regions experiencing year-round fire activity. This trend is expected to continue in 2025, with fires starting earlier and extending well into the fall. Years of minimal prescribed burn practices have led to excessive vegetation accumulation, creating dense fuel loads that are highly flammable, especially in drought-stressed areas.
For the most up-to-date information on fire conditions, residents are encouraged to monitor local weather services and follow all restrictions and warnings issued by fire management agencies.