Private Equity Data Guy

Private Equity Data Guy

By Graeme CrawfordBusinessTechnologyLeisure
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Private Equity Data Guy episodes

  • The Finance Fix That Prepared a Company for Private Equity Review

    I spoke with Sal Tirabassi about the role a fractional CFO can play as a company grows and prepares for a possible sale. He described how his team helped a business consolidate reporting across two related entities, correct system errors, and clarify the performance of its manufacturing and rental operations.

    Our conversation covered investor grade financial data, tracing margin changes to specific customers and products, measuring marketing channels through retention, and how AI may affect early career learning. I asked what smaller businesses gain from senior fractional CFO support and how experience across different clients shapes the advice a finance leader can give.

    Chapters:

    • 00:15 - The value of 1099 work: flexibility and direct access to decision makers
    • 01:17 - Guest Intro — Sal Tarabassi: From Growth Investor to Fractional CFO Founder
    • 12:26 - Preparing a Business for a $20M Sale
    • 18:18 - Tax Savings and R&D Credits for Industrial Equipment Builders
    • 24:10 - Investor-Grade Data: What Investors Expect in Diligence
    • 31:29 - Inside a NASCAR Racing Team
    • 35:44 - Client segments and the value offered to smaller clients
    • 44:24 - Closing: Guest Farewell and Contact Information

    Companies Mentioned

    CFO Pro+Analytics: Sal’s firm provides fractional and interim CFO support.

    MC Partners: Sal spent nearly a decade there as a partner in growth and venture investing.

    IBM and Accenture: I referenced my early career at both companies and the client work I learned from there.

    Capital One: I mentioned leading the company’s marketing technology stack. [1]

    Websites Mentioned

    CFO Pro+Analytics: https://www.cfoproanalytics.com/

    Sal Tirabassi on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stirabassi/

    Guest Information

    Guest’s Full Name: Sal Tirabassi

    Company / Organization: CFO Pro+Analytics

    Salvatore “Sal” Tirabassi founded CFO Pro+Analytics in 2021 after 15 years investing in growth and venture businesses, including nearly a decade as a partner at MC Partners. He leads a team of senior fractional CFOs supporting founder owned and family owned companies.

    46 min
  • What Private Equity Portfolio Companies Miss In Their Own Billing

    In this episode, I talk with Carson Marr, founder of Buyable, about where real money hides inside private equity portfolio companies. Carson spent years advising executives at firms like Blackstone, Vista, and Thoma Bravo on buying and building enterprise technology before he built Buyable, a company that reviews contracts and billing records and only gets paid when it finds missed revenue. His team found millions of dollars sitting in the gap between a billion dollar company's contracts and its billing system, work completed in sixty days.

    Carson explains the two conditions an outcome based deal needs, a buyer who is hungry for a specific result and a project narrow enough to prove direct cause and effect. We talk through why contract and billing gaps open up during mergers, why escalator clauses get missed for years, and why executives choose Salesforce or IBM because the downside of a safe choice protects their career. Carson also shares a story about turning a research tool into a pipeline engine that created one hundred and four million dollars in new pipeline within sixty days for a large AI company.

    Chapters:

    • 00:09 - Turning Research into Revenue: $104M Pipeline in 60 Days
    • 01:10 - Introducing Carlson Ma — From Deal Advisor to Founder of Buyable
    • 09:06 - Proving outcomes before engagement — using niche case studies
    • 18:13 - Case Study: Turning Research into $104M Pipeline in 60 Days
    • 24:06 - The CRM Dilemma: When Implementation Isn't an Outcome-Based Play
    • 31:02 - AI Disruption: Industries at Risk

    Companies Mentioned

    Buyable, RSM, Blackstone, Vista Equity Partners, Thoma Bravo, Salesforce, Sierra, IBM, ZoomInfo.

    Websites Mentioned

    Carson's personal site is carsonmarr.com. He also writes on Substack and can be found on LinkedIn. His company site is Buyable.

    Guest Information

    Carson Marr is the founder of Buyable, a company that reviews contracts and billing systems inside private equity portfolio companies and only gets paid when it finds missed revenue. He spent years in management consulting at RSM, where he worked with firms including Blackstone, Vista, and Thoma Bravo on enterprise technology decisions inside their portfolio companies. He writes about deal making on Substack and can be found on LinkedIn.

    37 min
  • Why Private Equity Value Creation Plans Quietly Fail

    Here's the scariest sentence in private equity: every KPI on the value creation plan is green and enterprise value is exactly where it started. I paint that horror show because it's exactly what I've seen: dashboards full of check marks, a room of smart people, and nobody who can explain why the company isn't worth more. You get the quick wins in year one—pricing tweaks, a bit of cost takeout—and everyone celebrates. Then year two arrives, the heavy-lift initiatives—cross-sell, add-ons, new segments—take longer, definitions diverge, and the board deck looks prettier than reality. What breaks the thesis isn't bad strategy; it's broken data. I walk you through how every lever—pricing, procurement, cross-sell, M&A—relies on numbers you can trace. Most portfolio companies run on a patchwork of systems, one heroic finance person, and no agreed definitions. So the dashboard turns green because we're measuring activity, not value. The net result: enterprise value flatlines and buyers discount everything because they can't trust the baseline. If you want to find the gap, try my one-meeting test: pick the single number the plan depends on and ask the room who can trace it to source, define it, and reproduce it. If the room goes quiet, you found the problem. I also flag a free scorecard at the end to see where you stand and offer a chat to show you where the plan and the data disagree while you still have time to fix it.

    Takeaways:

    • You should stop trusting green KPI dashboards — they often measure activity, not the actual value increments buyers will pay for.
    • I explain why value creation is the whole game now: cheap leverage and multiple expansion no longer carry deals.
    • If you buy a new BI tool or hire a fancy consultant without fixing definitions, you're just decorating broken data — don't order the pizza yet.
    • We learned the hard way: merging companies means merging messy datasets first, otherwise any post-acquisition claims won't survive diligence.
    • You can test your portfolio quickly — pick the one number the plan depends on and ask who can trace it back to source.
    • Foundations matter: build data definitions and ownership early, because they compound value each quarter and speed up provable initiatives.
    • I even put a free scorecard at the bottom — use it now so we can find where your numbers and the plan disagree before it's too late.

    8 min
  • Why Private Equity Operators Still Cannot Find Their Real EBITDA

    In this episode I talk with Afrozy Ara, founder and CEO of LuminaData, an AI transformation platform for finance operations backed by Techstars and Berkeley SkyDeck. Afrozy started her career as an electrical engineer, then spent over a decade in enterprise consulting at firms including Mu Sigma, where she worked directly with Fortune 500 finance teams and built out diagnostic practices that benchmark how finance work actually happens inside large organizations. She started LuminaData a year and a half ago, beginning with a single problem inside reconciliations, and her founding thesis is that AI adoption is not the same as AI transformation.

    We talk about where the money actually hides inside a finance team, from duplicate invoices and unpaid remittances to the nonstandard contracts that large customers like Amazon force onto their vendors. Afrozy explains why giving a team of ten people the same AI tool can produce ten different answers without a shared process behind them, and why she still keeps a human in the loop for every exception rather than letting an agent make deterministic decisions on its own. She also walks through the three step method her team uses inside a client: look across the whole business, pick one area and go deep, then show a small result fast to build trust before scaling the work across the order to cash process.

    Chapters:

    • 00:19 - The Agent: Reimagining Your Process
    • 04:11 - Thesis: AI adoption is not AI transformation
    • 08:15 - AI in the Enterprise — From Copilots to Capturing Value
    • 20:56 - Humans in the Loop: Designing AI Agents with Human Oversight
    • 25:05 - Connecting platforms to reveal business performance and KPIs
    • 33:21 - Personal Writing, Unfinished Books, and AI

    Companies Mentioned

    LuminaData

    Techstars

    Berkeley SkyDeck

    Mu Sigma

    Capital One

    Amazon

    Ramp

    Brex

    QuickBooks

    Anthropic

    Websites Mentioned

    linkedin.com/in/afrozy-ara-57527612

    luminadata.ai

    Guest Information

    Afrozy Ara is the founder and CEO of LuminaData, an AI platform for finance operations backed by Techstars and Berkeley SkyDeck. She began her career as an electrical engineer before moving into enterprise consulting, spending over a decade at firms including Mu Sigma, where she partnered with Fortune 500 finance teams on data and process problems. She started LuminaData a year and a half ago, beginning with a single problem inside reconciliations, and her work today centers on her belief that AI adoption is not the same as AI transformation. You can find Afrozy on LinkedIn.

    Guest's Full Name: Afrozy Ara

    Company / Organization: LuminaData

    Website or Main Page: Not provided

    Guest Social Media Links: https://www.linkedin.com/in/afrozy-ara-57527612/

    37 min
  • What Actually Breaks Private Equity Portfolio Companies

    In this episode I sit down with Rich Kershaw, a technology due diligence specialist who has looked at over 250 companies for private equity and venture capital investors. We talk about why the technology itself is rarely the real problem inside a portfolio company. Rich explains that the org chart exposes decision making gaps that technical documents alone will not show you.

    This conversation gets into where large language models help and where they fall short. Rich explains why he treats AI like a smart but inexperienced intern who still needs clear direction. He shares what he is building with Billy, a platform designed to spot gaps in a company's operations before they turn into bigger problems for investors.

    Chapters:

    • 00:42 - The Hidden Data Problem Behind Value Creation
    • 02:28 - A Circuitous Route into Private Equity
    • 11:20 - When Technology Is — or Isn't — the Problem
    • 17:21 - Org Charts: What They Reveal About Governance and Decision‑Making
    • 27:19 - AI, LLMs and Due Diligence: What They Can — and Can’t — Automate
    • 37:24 - Origin of Billy: Scaling the Service with LLMs
    • 49:57 - Where to find Billy and Diligency — contact, beta sign-up & next steps

    Companies Mentioned

    Octopus Investments, Octopus Energy, Lecky Kershaw, Diligency Consortium, Billy, Microsoft, GitHub, Monday.com, Atlassian, Salesforce, Intercom

    Websites Mentioned

    richkershaw.com, diligency.org, leckykershaw.com, billy.works

    Guest Information

    Rich Kershaw spent his career on both sides of the technology table, first as a CTO and product leader, then running technology and product due diligence for venture capital and private equity investors through Lecky Kershaw. He co-founded the Diligency Consortium, a group of due diligence specialists working across multiple disciplines, and he is now building Billy, a platform that tracks portfolio companies against established operational standards between funding rounds. Rich can be found at richkershaw.com and Billy at billy.works.

    52 min
  • Why Private Equity Operating Partners Can't Trust Their Own KPIs

    This week I sat down with Vinay Raman, the CEO of CAARMO, to talk about the gap between what leadership teams believe is happening inside their company and what is actually happening on the ground. Vinay has spent thirteen years studying that gap. He walked me through the fifteen questions his firm uses to score where a leadership team agrees and where members quietly disagree, and the map his team builds to show exactly where the disagreement lives.

    We talked about what happens after a private equity firm buys a company and replaces its leadership team, why a system built for twenty three employees can break at one hundred thirty nine, and why placing AI on top of a broken process only makes the process fail faster. Vinay closed with a daily private equity news product he calls the Pulse, built to hand operating partners one sharp question before they walk into a room.

    Timestamps

    Chapters:

    • 00:03 - Common Sense: Why It's So Uncommon
    • 01:02 - Meet Vinay Rahman — Measuring the Gap Between Belief and Reality
    • 12:29 - From Misalignment to Coherence
    • 18:42 - Leadership: The Biggest Challenge in Portfolio Companies
    • 25:20 - Private Equity Analogy: Why 'Copilot' Alone Won't Deliver
    • 38:42 - The Future of Private Equity: Value Creation, AI, and the Shift to Effectiveness

    Companies Mentioned

    CAARMO - Vinay's company scores leadership teams on fifteen questions and builds a map of where the team agrees and where it splits.

    Bain & Company - named for research on how much of a strategy actually reaches execution.

    McKinsey - named alongside other firms publishing reports on private equity value creation.

    KKR - named alongside other firms publishing reports on private equity value creation.

    Tesla - referenced through a story about a meeting practice from Tesla's early growth years.

    Websites Mentioned

    caarmo.com

    Vinay Raman on LinkedIn

    Guest Information

    Vinay Raman is the CEO of CAARMO, a firm that studies execution friction inside growing service businesses. He spent more than twenty years working in data analytics and artificial intelligence before building CAARMO's fifteen question survey and cohesion mapping tools. He produces a daily private equity news product called the Pulse.

    45 min
  • Why Private Equity Firms Call Customers Before Closing

    I sat down with Dan Grainger, who runs the private equity practice at T4, a voice of customer research firm that ended up in private equity almost by accident. He spends his time inside letter of intent windows, calling the customers of companies my listeners are trying to buy or fix. We talked about what those customers say once nobody from the target company is on the line.

    Dan walked me through real deals where customer interviews changed the outcome. One packaging company lost twenty five million dollars off its price after customers described new competitors already undercutting them. Another deal died after a flooring company's dealers reported a failed software rollout that nobody in the boardroom had flagged. We also talked about where artificial intelligence helps his research team and where it still falls short.

    Timestamps

    Chapters:

    • 00:14 - AI's struggle to connect unstructured data
    • 01:08 - Guest Introduction — Dan Granger & T4's Private Equity Practice
    • 10:59 - Case Study — Hidden Competitive Threats Uncovered Through Customer Interviews
    • 19:38 - Customer Diligence Red Flags
    • 28:24 - AI in Customer Research — Tools, Limits, and Human Judgment
    • 34:50 - Closing Remarks and Contact Info

    Companies Mentioned

    T4, T4 Associates, Medallia, SAP, ChatGPT

    Websites Mentioned

    https://www.t4associates.com/

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/danielgrainger/

    Guest Information

    Dan Grainger leads the private equity practice at T4 Associates, a voice of customer research firm found at t4associates.com. He previously worked in customer research consulting and spent time at Medallia during its time as a private technology company before moving into private equity diligence work. He interviews target company customers during letter of intent windows to surface risks and growth opportunities before deals close.

    36 min
  • The Feeling Every Operator Has Before the Numbers Turn

    In this episode I sat down with Regan Inkster, a strategist who has spent 25 years building strategy for Global 1000 companies and served three times as a chief architect. We talked about a pattern he found in his own research on organizational coherence: the distance between what a company says internally and what employees actually experience appears in performance data before it appears in the financial numbers. He calls this warning window about two quarters, and he built an AI model that reads language across a company to measure it.

    We covered real cases, including a merger that destroyed about 75 percent of the deal's value and a widely recognized coffee company where the space between leadership and frontline teams matched swings in market value for years. Regan shared advice for private equity operating partners: close the loop between decisions and the reasons behind them, and check whether the dashboard rewards match what leadership wants the business to improve.

    Timestamps

    00:02:26 Coherence drifts before financial results

    00:04:13 Sensing dysfunction inside an organization

    00:08:00 Building the coherence measurement platform

    00:16:30 CEO strategy rollout builds agreement

    00:18:24 Starbucks coherence linked to market value

    00:21:23 Private equity ownership raises mismatch risk

    00:32:59 Many AI initiatives fail to deliver

    00:41:16 Closing the loop after decisions

    Companies Mentioned

    IBM

    Capital One

    Oracle

    Starbucks

    Fidelity International Systems

    World Pay

    Netflix

    Blockbuster

    The New York Times

    HBO

    Websites Mentioned

    Amazon: https://www.amazon.com

    Barnes and Noble: https://www.barnesandnoble.com

    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com

    Glassdoor: https://www.glassdoor.com

    Reddit: https://www.reddit.com

    Indeed: https://www.indeed.com

    Guest Information

    Regan Inkster spent 25 years building strategy for Global 1000 companies and served three times as a chief architect. He worked as a global go to market and value creation leader at Oracle and as a country lead for emerging tech and AI at a global systems integrator. He wrote the book Two Quarter Warning, which describes how organizational coherence drops about two quarters before financial results do.

    45 min
  • What Buyers Actually See Before the LOI (And What the SIM Hides)

    Jeremiah Wanzell has spent over two decades scaling consumer brands inside Fortune 100 companies like Hugo Boss, Calvin Klein, and Steve Madden before moving into private equity as an operating partner. In this conversation, he breaks down what buyers actually see in consumer deals before the LOI, what the CIM almost never tells you, and why he built Deal Reveal, a free self-service scorecard that grades a deal across six weighted value drivers in under ten minutes.

    We get into the data gap between large enterprise and mid-market portfolio companies, the real reasons Allbirds collapsed and Nike stumbled, and what multi-channel diversity actually means in practice. Jeremiah also walks us through the Capezio acquisition, a fifth-generation family brand that another firm passed on, and why a clear deal thesis and niche market dominance made it one of the best deals in the consumer PE space.

    Chapters:

    • 00:08 - Understanding Customer Base and Product Value
    • 07:27 - Understanding the Gaps in Revenue Stories
    • 12:16 - The Digital Opportunity in Business
    • 18:22 - Navigating Business Sales: Understanding the Wave of Institutional Capital
    • 24:38 - The Importance of Channel Diversity in E-Commerce
    • 34:05 - Cautionary Tales: Lessons from Allbirds and Nike
    • 40:57 - The Future of CPG Brands and Market Opportunities

    Guest Information

    Jeremiah Wanzell is a consumer brand operator and private equity advisor with 22 years of experience at Hugo Boss, Calvin Klein, and Steve Madden. He works as an operating partner with PE firms in the consumer sector and originated the Capezio acquisition for Argon, which won M&A Deal of the Year. He recently launched Deal Reveal, a consumer M&A scorecard available at growthmindsetadvisors.com.

    Company: Growth Mindset Advisors

    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jeremiah-wanzell/

    Website: https://growthmindsetadvisors.com/

    Companies Mentioned

    Hugo Boss

    Calvin Klein / PVH

    Steve Madden

    Capezio

    Allbirds

    Nike

    Adidas

    On Running

    Hoka

    Brooks

    Skims

    Warby Parker

    Amazon / Whole Foods

    DSW

    Macy's

    Shopify

    Websites Mentioned

    growthmindsetadvisors.com (Deal Reveal scorecard)

    Key Takeaways

    The CIM shows revenue. It rarely shows revenue quality by channel, customer concentration, or margin by door. That gap is where deals get repriced or killed.

    Multi-channel diversity is non-negotiable. Brands that lean entirely on DTC or heavily on Amazon carry structural risk that buyers will price in.

    A clear deal thesis before you enter a process is what separates a fast pass from a real opportunity. Capezio got passed by one firm simply because they did not understand the dance wear category.

    Start the exit preparation process one to three years before you want to sell. The difference between a 2x and an 8x is often just how ready the business is when it hits the market.

    46 min
  • The Metrics Look Fine. So Why Is the Business Stalling?

    David Newcomb has done something rare in private equity. He operated through two separate transactions at the same company, including the founder exit, and watched the second buyer walk in and say they were acquiring the business because of what he had built. That vantage point gave him a phrase every operator, board member, and sponsor should carry: value drift.

    We spent this conversation unpacking what value drift looks like from the inside, why the board pack stays green while the real signals are moving in the wrong direction, and what happens to organizations when leadership changes come faster than the business can absorb them. David also shared what kept him through two holds: doing what he said he would do, quarter over quarter, with whoever was sitting across the table.

    Chapters:

    • 00:08 - The Transformation of Private Equity
    • 03:54 - Understanding Value Drift in Private Equity
    • 10:50 - Navigating Founder Exits and Business Value Drift
    • 22:22 - Understanding Misalignment in Business Metrics
    • 27:23 - The Dynamics of Change in Private Equity
    • 31:06 - Navigating Change Fatigue in Private Equity

    Guest Information

    David Newcomb is a seasoned operator who managed through two private equity transactions at the same company, including the founder exit. He originated the term value drift to describe the erosion of intangible business value that follows leadership transitions and founder departures. He is active on LinkedIn and welcomes conversations from operators, sponsors, and advisors working through similar dynamics.

    Companies Mentioned

    Bawdy AI

    Not Very Private Equity

    Websites Mentioned

    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com

    Bawdy AI: https://www.bawdy.ai

    Key Takeaways

    Value drift begins before anyone can measure it and compounds quietly until the damage is visible.

    Board metrics can signal health while the underlying business is losing the qualities that made it attractive in the first place.

    Replacing operators repeatedly without identifying the root cause does not solve the problem and adds real cost and fatigue to the organization.

    Doing what you say, consistently, across multiple sponsors and holds, is what separates operators who survive transitions from those who do not.

    37 min

About Private Equity Data Guy

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Private equity meets data. Conversations with deal teams, operating partners, and portfolio company leaders about the data problems that kill deals, slow exits, and destroy value.