tastytrade Market Measures

Probability of Large Losses


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As a result of the highly volatile moves of this selloff, many premium sellers experienced significant losses; however, how often can traders expect this to happen?

Tom and Tony discuss some of the worst losses option traders can expect from short strangle positions, and how likely they are to occur.

We find that short premium positions tend to have infrequent, but substantial losses and are much more likely to have small, but high probability positive returns.

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tastytrade Market MeasuresBy tastytrade