Current thoughts on the climate and environmental crisis. I have reservations about the current climate picture: it's not wrong, but it isn't quite right either. And this issue isn't primarily environmental, it's social, psychospiritual and about the nature of planetary civilisation.

Each and every one of us has to get behind this for it to succeed - form a world consensus that everyone can buy. That's tricky. The breakthrough point on climate will come alongside a breakthrough point in humanity.

As a forecaster - working mainly along social and geopolitical lines - I've learned a few things about predicting the future: what we currently visualise for the future and what actually happens when the future actually comes can be quite different things.

Introduced by the waves at Portheras Cove, a few miles from where I live, here in Cornwall.