US Housing Industry News

"Resilient Housing Market Faces Headwinds of High Rates and Inventory Shortages"


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The current state of the US housing industry is characterized by elevated mortgage rates, rising home prices, and a shortage of housing inventory. As of January 8, 2025, the average 30-year mortgage rate stands at 7.08 percent, despite three rate cuts from the Fed since September 2024[1]. This high rate environment is expected to continue throughout 2025, with experts predicting rates will moderate but not decrease substantially.

Home prices have continued to rise, with a 4.7% increase in November 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, marking the 17th consecutive month of year-over-year national median existing home sales price gains[4]. The National Association of Realtors forecasts an average home price increase of 3.0% in 2025.

Housing inventory remains a significant issue, with a 3.8-month supply at the end of November 2024, which is below the 5 to 6 months typically needed for a balanced market[1]. However, inventory levels have been improving, with a 17.7% increase from a year ago.

Despite these challenges, home sales momentum is building, with a 4.8% year-over-year increase in November 2024, according to the National Association of Realtors[1]. This uptick is attributed to the economy adding jobs, housing inventory growing, and consumers adjusting to the new normal of mortgage rates between 6% and 7%.

Industry leaders are responding to these challenges by focusing on new construction to increase inventory. Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate, notes that most of the increase in inventory will come from new construction, as mortgage rates won't fall enough to spur an increase in existing-home inventory[1].

Comparing current conditions to the previous reporting period, the housing market has shown resilience despite high mortgage rates and inventory shortages. The market is expected to remain challenging in 2025, but with a more favorable outlook than much of 2024, especially if mortgage rates and inventory levels improve.

In conclusion, the US housing industry is navigating a complex landscape of high mortgage rates, rising home prices, and inventory shortages. While challenges persist, industry leaders are adapting by focusing on new construction, and consumers are adjusting to the new normal. The market is expected to remain challenging but with a more favorable outlook in 2025.

This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
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US Housing Industry NewsBy Inception Point Ai