After a strong showing by US Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont in the early contests of the Democratic nomination season, former Vice-President Joe Biden has gained a great deal of momentum, starting in South Carolina and thru Super Tuesday. Is this a positive turn of events for the Democrats in terms of moving away from a democratic socialist as their standard-bearer, or is having a centrist candidate as the frontrunner a bad sign for the party's chances of beating Donald Trump in the general election? Jaye discusses the 2020 model of election forecaster Rachel Bitecofer, reasons behind Joe Biden's support among African-Americans, and why it is imperative that - regardless of ideology - the Democratic nominee must give voters, including those ideologically predisposed to vote for Democrats, a reason to vote *for* them, not simply that they are a superior alternative to Trump.

Twitter: @potstirrercast IG: @potstirrerpodcast Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/potstirrerpodcast/ Website: PotstirrerPodcast.com

Source Material:

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/02/06/rachel-bitecofer-profile-election-forecasting-new-theory-108944?fbclid=IwAR3XnN_cmwNAWrRLY-X0jjXVtD2QBBDzL9h5-BWZoUkHIyaMULCgyonwvSs https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/09/05/negative-partisanship-explains-everything-215534 http://cnu.edu/wasoncenter/2019/07/01-2020-election-forecast/ https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/01/other-swing-voter/604474/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/28/us/politics/elizabeth-warren-black-vote.html https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/mar/05/super-tuesday-black-voters-analysis-recap https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2020-03-08/biden-in-mississippi-sanders-in-michigan-before-primaries https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4DiZpmEAfVg http://www.stevenwwebster.com/negative-partisanship.pdf http://stevenwwebster.com/research/all_politics_is_national.pdf https://www.newsweek.com/black-lives-matter-co-founder-endorses-sanders-warren-1488912 https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2019/06/06/joe-biden-defends-1994-crime-bill-zeleny-pkg-lead-vpx.cnn https://newrepublic.com/article/156402/hate-ballot https://www.thirdway.org/memo/a-nuanced-picture-of-what-black-americans-want-in-2020 http://content.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,151404,00.html https://twitter.com/VanJones68/status/1237535950298910720?s=20 https://twitter.com/lloki08/status/1236493650189680641?s=20

Music:

Potstirrer Podcast Theme composed by Jon Biegen from Stranger Still http://strangerstillshow.com/ http://jonathanbiegen.com

Back and Forth composed by Silent Partner

Cold Funk - Funkorama composed by Kevin MacLeod Licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-free/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100499 Artist: http://incompetech.com/

Minor Blues for Booker composed by E's Jimmy Jams

That Night in Your Car composed by Spazz Cardigan