Restricted Handling Daily Intel Brief

RH 12.24.25 | Russia: Blackouts, Blasts & Backchannels


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Welcome back to The Restricted Handling Podcast — where global power plays, battlefield blunders, and backroom deals collide. In today's high-voltage episode, "Blackouts, Blasts & Backchannels," we're diving straight into 24 hours of Russian chaos that feel like a Cold War reboot with TikTok-level pacing.

First up, Moscow's Christmas "gift" to Ukraine: one of the largest drone and missile barrages of the war. We're talking more than 600 drones, Kinzhal hypersonic missiles, and cruise strikes lighting up the night sky from Odesa to Kyiv. Ukraine's F-16s finally got their cinematic debut, downing most of what Russia threw — but not before massive blackouts rolled through western Ukraine. Putin's message to the world? Bah humbug.

Then we hit the diplomatic drama. President Volodymyr Zelensky isn't just playing defense — he's rewriting the script. He dropped a new U.S.-backed 20-point peace plan proposing a demilitarized zone in Donetsk. It's the boldest move yet in the Miami-mediated peace process that's become half geopolitical thriller, half reality show. Washington loves the progress; the Kremlin's playing hard to get. But with both sides talking borders again, this might be the first draft of an actual deal — not just another round of photo ops and posturing.

Meanwhile, inside Russia, the paranoia meter's red-lining. In Moscow, a car bomb killed Lieutenant General Fanil Sarvarov, followed days later by another blast that took out two cops near the same spot. That's two explosions in two days in the heart of the capital. Add in the assassination of neo-Nazi militia leader Stanislav "Spaniard" Orlov — reportedly by Russia's own security services — and the empire's starting to look more John Wick than Red Square.

The Kremlin's also bleeding money faster than it's firing missiles. Oil tankers are literally circling the globe with no buyers, gas revenues are scraping five-year lows, and defense factory bosses are lighting themselves on fire — literally — under Stalin-era pressure to meet impossible quotas. Medvedev's threatening prison time for late deliveries while the ruble gasps for air. It's a Soviet flashback with fewer medals and more corruption.

Plus, we unpack Russia's growing "digital Gulag," the Baltic Sea sabotage chess game, and a wild new backchannel deal with Belarus's Alexander Lukashenko — complete with Boeing parts, sanctions relief, and a weight-loss drug cameo.

If you want to understand how Moscow's trying to wage war, hide weakness, and spin collapse into confidence, this episode has it all — explosions, diplomacy, drama, and delusion — Russia-style.

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Restricted Handling Daily Intel BriefBy Restricted Handling