The War Lab: Exploring the Future of Conflict

Rise of the Wingmen: Finding the Right Mix of Fighters and Drones in Future Air Warfare

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The future of air combat is here, and it's a mix of cutting-edge fighter jets and… drones? In this episode, we grapple with a critical question facing the U.S. Air Force: how to balance expensive, high-performance fighters with less costly, potentially expendable drones. Is it a simple trade-off between quality and quantity, or is the reality far more complex?

Join us as we dissect a fascinating analysis exploring the optimal mix of fighters and drones in a high-end conflict against a sophisticated adversary. We'll examine how drones, acting as loyal wingmen, can significantly enhance fighter survivability and mission effectiveness.

We'll unpack:

  • The Quality vs. Quantity Dilemma: We'll explore the age-old military challenge of balancing expensive, high-capability systems with cheaper, more numerous ones, applied to the realm of air combat.
  • The Changing Battlefield: Discover why the Air Force is rethinking its approach in the face of advanced air defense systems and evolving threats.
  • Drones: Force Multipliers, Not Replacements: Learn how drones, even relatively simple ones, can act as force multipliers, absorbing enemy fire and increasing the lethality of manned fighters.
  • The Importance of Interceptors: Explore why the quantity and quality of interceptor missiles carried by both fighters and drones are crucial for survival.
  • Three Sizes of Drones, Three Different Roles: We'll analyze the potential of small, medium, and large drones, each with its own strengths and weaknesses, and how they might fit into future air combat scenarios.
  • The Power of Set-Based Design: Understand how this innovative approach helps explore the vast design space for drones, delaying final decisions until more information is available.
  • Simulating the Future: Hear about the insights gained from a system dynamics simulation that models the complex interactions between fighters, drones, and enemy defenses.
  • The Key Metrics that Matter: Discover which factors, like the "Expected Kill Difference," are most critical in determining fighter survivability and the optimal fighter-drone mix.
  • Cost Considerations: We'll delve into the complex relationship between drone performance, capabilities, and cost, examining how factors like speed, range, and payload impact the overall equation.

    • We'll also discuss:

    • The historical context of the "hi-low mix" debate in the Air Force.
    • The challenges of integrating autonomous systems into existing command and control structures.
    • The ethical implications of deploying increasingly autonomous weapons.

      • This episode is a must-listen for anyone interested in the future of warfare, the evolving role of air power, and the complex interplay between technology, strategy, and cost. Tune in to learn how the Air Force is grappling with these critical issues and what the rise of the robotic wingman means for the future of air combat.

      Tags: Military Technology, Air Power, Drones, Fighter Jets, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, UAVs, Future Warfare, Defense Strategy, Air Combat, System Dynamics, Set-Based Design, Cost Analysis, Military Innovation, Artificial Intelligence, Autonomy.

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      The War Lab: Exploring the Future of ConflictBy CJH