Regulatory Joe

Risk Adjustment in a Post-Subsidy ACA Health Plan Marketplace


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After APTCs will likely expire at the end of this year, ACA risk adjustment is set to shift significantly—and health plans need to prepare now.

In this episode of Regulatory Joe, ClearFile President Joe Boyle explains how a post-subsidy marketplace will impact risk pools, filings and business processes through 2027.

He breaks down what happens when subsidy support shifts, how membership and morbidity trends may move, and why Plan Year 2027 becomes the first true impact year for ACA risk adjustment. Joe also shares what regulators may focus on next — from MLR volatility to URRT projections and RADV readiness — and how issuers can start modeling different scenarios before the delayed NBPP lands.

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Regulatory JoeBy ClearFile