Knowledge@Australian School of Business

Risk Modelling: Is the Response to the New Complexity Really So Simple?


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Risk modelling requires a radical revamp for the post-GFC economic

environment. Oddly enough, the new complexity seems to demand a more
simplistic approach to factoring in uncertainty. Focusing excessively on
detail may increase the risk of missing the obvious, warns Andries
Terblanche, a professor at the Australian School of Business and chair
of financial services at Big Four accountancy firm, KPMG. Remodelling
risk is controversial and Terblanche admits that a single, comprehensive
model remains elusive. Meanwhile, as instability prevails across the
global economy, debate over rethinking risk continues.

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