Design Amplified

Roy Amara’s Long Shadow: The Futurist Who Saw AI Coming - Episode 3


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In "Roy Amara's Long Shadow," former Adobe design leader Lance Shields explores the prescient wisdom of a little-known futurist who anticipated our AI revolution decades ago. Shields unpacks Amara's deceptively simple law—that we overestimate technology's short-term impact while underestimating its long-term transformation—and reveals how this pattern has repeatedly shaped innovation. Through examples from the internet era to today's AI landscape, Shields offers a thoughtful perspective on where we actually stand: not in an overnight revolution, but at the early stages of a profound shift that will ultimately reshape work, leadership, and society in ways we've barely begun to imagine.

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Design AmplifiedBy Lance Shields