President Trump is gaining on Former Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden's polling lead over the last few weeks. In 2016, President Trump had a stunning upset over former Secretary Hillary Clinton. Can he replicate that performance again in 2020? It will depend on the voting method this year due to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic.  The 2016 and 2020 presidential forecasts from most major outlets remain consistent and the same. That does not mean the result will be exactly the same due to polling error and oversampling of certain groups.