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Michelle and Vox unpack a market pattern that hides in plain sight each spring: why the U.S. Treasury's cash account can drain liquidity before April 15, then refill quickly as tax payments arrive. Using the latest 2026 TGA and refund-season data, they explain how refunds, tax receipts, and Treasury cash management can move reserves and shape the tone of markets.
By VoxMichelle and Vox unpack a market pattern that hides in plain sight each spring: why the U.S. Treasury's cash account can drain liquidity before April 15, then refill quickly as tax payments arrive. Using the latest 2026 TGA and refund-season data, they explain how refunds, tax receipts, and Treasury cash management can move reserves and shape the tone of markets.